Investor Presentation
Released
Released
Announcement PDF
ASX RELEASE
21 May 2024
Investor Presentation
Carbonxt Group Limited (ASX:CG1) (the Company or Carbonxt) provides the attached Investor
Presentation
This announcement has been authorised for release to ASX by the Board of Directors of Carbonxt
Group Limited.
ENDS
For Investor Enquiries
Warren Murphy
Managing Director
+61 413 841 216
Carbonxt Group Limited. Level 8. 210 George Street, Sydney NSW 2000
Advanced Activated Carbon Products & Emerging
Contaminants Solutions Providers
MAY 2024
Company Snapshot
Carbonxt products remove toxic pollutants from a range of industrial, water and air environments.
The products are unique engineered activated carbons with first of a kind manufacturing
operations.
Three US-based production facilities, with the third facility being commissioned over the coming
months.
Industry leading R&D capability.
Environmental regulations driving strong customer demand.
New joint venture with Kentucky Carbon Processing, LLC (“KCP”) to expand production and
product range.
Recent EPA regulatory change underpins impending water market entry, significantly expanding
addressable market.
Board & Senior Management
Share Price ($)
$0.07
Matthew Driscoll
Independent Chairman
Shares on Issue (m)
324.22
Dr. David Mazyck
Director & CTO
Options/Warrants (m)
82.25
Warren Murphy
Managing Director
Market Cap. ($m)
$22.70
Dr. Imtiaz Kathawalla
Independent Director
Cash ($m)
$1.90
Nicholas Andrews
Independent Director
Debt ($m)
$15.00
Dr. Regina Rodriguez
CEO, Carbonxt Inc
Enterprise Value ($m)
$35.80
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
2
Activated Carbon: Overview
Activated Carbon is a porous carbon-based material that removes contaminants
from vapours and liquids through surface adhesion, a process known as adsorption.
Powdered Activated Carbon
Activated Carbon is usually derived from carbon sources such as wood chips and
coal.
Typical industrial uses include:
o Trapping mercury emissions from coal-fired power stations.
o Groundwater remediation and drinking water filtration for disinfection by-products.
o Air and gas purification to remove oil vapours, odour, and other hydrocarbon emissions.
Pelletized Activated Carbon
Driven by environmental awareness and regulatory change, industrial demand for
Activated Carbon is expanding rapidly.
Activated Carbon for large scale industrial use comes in three forms:
o Powdered
o Pellets
o Granular
Carbonxt will produce all three variants in 2025, significantly enhancing the
Company’s addressable market.
Granular Activated Carbon
Activated Carbon pricing ranges from the $2,000 - $6000 per ton, subject to range of
factors. These include the intellectual property used in developing the product, input
costs, and the degree of specialisation in formulating a solution.
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
3
Addressable Market
Current Activated Carbon Market
Carbonxt is well positioned
US$903m
Based on the current areas of specialisation (Air Phase) Carbonxt has an addressable US
market of US$290m, with an approximate 4% market share.
The new Kentucky facility will allow the Company to address the much larger opportunity in
water-treatment (Liquid Phase).
US$290m
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has increased regulation of per- and
polyfluoroalkyl substances (“PFAS”).
Current Air Phase
PFAS, or “forever chemicals,” are a set of human-made chemicals that can cause cancer
and other severe health problems.
Future - Air & Liquid Phase
Source: https://www.freedoniagroup.com/freedonia-focus
Annual cost to remove PFAS from
Drinking & Waste Water
Granular activated carbon is the most commonly used type of PFAS treatment and is one
of three technologies recommended by the EPA.
US$3.2bn
The new regulation would indicate a substantial increase in the size of the addressable
market, and utilities have five years in which to comply.
US$2.5bn
The EPA estimates that it could cost between US$772 million to US$1.2 billion per year for
water utilities to comply with its new rules.
The American Water Works Association/Black & Veatch believes that the cost will be
considerably higher.
US$1.2bn
US$0.8bn
EPA Low
EPA High
AWWA Low AWWA High
Source: American Water Works Assoc./Black and Veatch
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
4
PFAS - Forever Chemicals
Federal Regulatory Change – US EPA
Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl
Substances (“PFAS”) have
been widely used, long
lasting chemicals,
components of which break
down very slowly over time.
PFAS are found in soil, water,
air, fish, and humans across
the globe.
PFAS has received
significant media attention
recently based on the its
implied human health
effects.
The EPA has identified
activated carbon as one of
the best available
technologies for the removal
of PFAS.
The EPA has established National Primary
Drinking Water Regulations for PFAS as of April
2024. PFAS compliance expected by 2029.
PFAS will have an MCL of 4.0 ppt (also
expressed as ng/L) and a Hazard Index of 1.0
for PFNA, PFHxS, PFBS, and HFPO-DA.
Beyond the federal EPA rules, several states
already have implemented PFAS regulations
including Massachusetts, New Hampshire,
New Jersey, New York, Vermont, Wisconsin,
Pennsylvania.
The PFAS remediation market includes:
manufacturing and industrial facilities,
municipal and drinking water systems, military
and defense operations, and environmental
consulting firms
Engineered product from Inez Power AC
proven to be competitive against industry
standard products for PFOA removal in
drinking water.
Link: How the EPA'S PFAS ruling on US drinking
water could elevate ASX junior Carbonxt
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
5
US drinking water
sites above the
new EPA PFAS limit
Source: Environmental Working Group - https://www.ewg.org/interactive-maps/pfas_contamination
Existing operations
Carbonxt currently operates two facilities
The Company has a Powdered Activated Carbon facility at Black Birch (Georgia), and a Pellet
Activated Carbon facility at Arden Hills (Minnesota).
The current facilities have provided relatively consistent revenue, but progress has been hampered
over recent years due to supply chain disruption and lower than historical demand from our largest
customer – Wisconsin Power.
Despite increased cost inflation, the Company has been successful in passing these on (with a lag)
and improving efficiencies to enhance margins.
Gross margins have trended higher recently but are still below target due to lower than optimal
utilisation at both the facilities.
44%
36%
26%
7.1
4.1
5.7
3.0
2.5
2.8
2.7
2.8
2.6
1H21
2H21
1H22
2H22
1H23
2H23
Powdered Revenue
28%
32%
31%
27%
3.9
2.6
Black Birch, Georgia
Powdered Activated Carbon Plant
4.6
6.1
32%
29%
22%
16%
17%
1H21
2H21
21%
17%
3.8
1H24
Pellet Revenue
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
1H22
Gross Margin
2H22
1H23
2H23
1H24
Gross Margin (after Shipping)
7
Existing Operations: Financial Performance & Outlook
Existing Operation Outlook
$2.7m
Based on current margins the current two facilities require only a modest increase in
revenue to lift Carbonxt’s group EBITDA into positive territory including corporate
overheads.
$1.8m
$1.2m
$1.5m
$1.4m
$0.9m
$0.2m
The Company is optimistic that this will be achieved from existing facilities but is a highly
confident of reaching meaningful profitably at the group level once there is an earnings
contribution from the new Kentucky facility.
Black Birch (Powdered AC)
$2.6m
-$0.2m
-$0.4m
-$0.3m
-$0.9m
-$1.3m
-$2.0m
Revenue in the last 12 months was a record A$6.5m (+16% pcp)
1H21
2H21
1H22
EBITDA
The Company is assessing options to expand the capacity of Black Birch to align with
significant customer demand.
The expansion into new markets is proving successful with recent short listing for two large
bids.
2H22
1H23
2H23
1H24
Gross Margin (after Shipping)
$8.0m
$6.77
$7.0m
$6.07
$6.0m
$4.57
Arden Hills (Pelletized AC)
$3.25
Revenue in the last 12 months was A$8.5m (-28% pcp).
Demand at Arden Hills pellet facility is highly correlated to gas prices as there is lower
demand from Wisconsin's coal power plant (WPS) for our mercury removal product.
WPS committing to 1,200 tons of pellets for A$4.3m with delivery by end of calendar year.
$2.66
$2.26
$4.0m
$3.0m
$2.0m
$2.41
$1.0m
1H21
2H21
1H22
Pellet Revenue
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
$5.0m
2H22
1H23
2H23
1H24
$0.0m
Henry Hub Gas Price (avg.)
8
Joint venture with Kentucky Carbon Processing (KCP)
The JV with Kentucky Carbon Processing (KCP) facilitates expansion into
the higher value end markets with improved margins
The Inez Power Activated Carbon Plant will produce both pelletized and
granular activated carbon from coal based raw materials.
The 12-acre site, formerly an active surface coal mine operation, has
been fully reclaimed and repurposed for power generation of up to 7
MW.
The facility will be the only coal-based pellet producer in North America.
The high-quality raw materials will expand the addressable market to
include industrial water treatment applications, including entry into the
PFAS ‘forever chemicals’ removal market.
The 10,000 ton per annum plant is currently close to commissioning, with
production expected to commence over the coming quarters.
The facility can be expanded to 20,000 tons per year for a small
additional investment.
Carbonxt share of the joint venture is 35.5% but moves to 50.0% after
US$4.5m of final milestone payments (US$10.0m total investment).
The JV provides surety of raw material supply, with gross margins in excess
of Carbonxt’s legacy production facilities.
Carbonxt is currently engaged with customers at prices in excess of the
$1.75/lb represented in the example presented.
Joint venture operating targets
Ramp-up
Stage 1
Stage 2
Production
[tons pa]
5,000
10,000
20,000
Price
[US$lb]
$1.75
$1.75
$1.75
Revenue
[US$m]
17.50
35.00
70.00
Gross Margin
[%]
45%
45%
45%
Gross Profit
[US$m]
7.88
15.75
31.50
Opex
[US$m]
-2.10
-3.15
-5.60
EBITDA
[US$m]
5.78
12.60
25.90
FX
[AUD/USD]
0.65
0.65
0.65
Carbonxt share
[%]
50%
50%
50%
Carbonxt EBITDA
[A$m]
4.44
9.69
19.92
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
9
Carbonxt’s opportunity in water utilities
The Kentucky JV delivers three key outcomes
US Water Utilities
Increased production capacity, with a likelihood to expand this further in the future.
3,340
Control over input costs.
High quality raw materials, facilitating entry into liquid-phase market AC’s (water treatment).
Granular Activated Carbon
Granular Activated Carbon (“GAC”) is most commonly used by water utilities to treat PFAS.
The US GAC market is dominated by Calgon Carbon.
568
Activated Carbon Pellets will be the primary focus, as they deliver less pressure drop in the
treatment process, ultimately decreasing the electricity cost for water utilities.
10k-100k
Water utilities opportunity
100k - 500k
58
34
500k-1,000k
+1,000k
No. of customers
There are 50,000 water utilities in the US, but most are very small community organisations.
There are 4,000 water utilities servicing 10,000 or more customers.
Water utilities currently account for approximately 50% of Granular Activated Carbon
market with annual expenditure of over US$300m. (Source: Persistence Market Research).
The new PFAS legislation will increase the use of activated carbon filtration to ensure the
stricter regulatory standards are met.
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
"PFAS contamination has been an ongoing issue that
affects public safety and health. The new regulation
will require significant action from water utilities to test
and treat water to meet these standards, which will
undoubtedly increase the demand for effective
treatment technologies like activated carbon.”
Michael S. Regan, EPA Administrator
10
Activated Carbon: Pricing
35 states have introduced various policies to address PFAS pollution. 13 states have already enacted legislation to reduce PFAS in drinking water.
The charts below displays GAC pricing data from publicly available pricing tenders.
Carbonxt expects to realise comparable pricing for Granular & Pellets produced at the Kentucky facility.
Carbonxt is in discussion with a significant number of potential customers for supplying product at prices in line with the financial modelling used to
make the investment decision for the new Kentucky facility.
Granular Activated Carbon Pricing
$4.50
Public Bid Results: Municipal Water Treatment
Granular AC Pricing (US$ per lb)
Average Price GAC Bids (US$ per lb)
All Bids
$3.00
$4.00
$2.57
$3.00
$2.50
$2.00
$1.50
$1.00
R² = 0.2476
$0.50
Jan-19
$2.34
$2.50
Pirce per pound of GAC
Price Per Pound for GAC
$3.50
$-
Lowest Bids
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-24
$2.06
$2.00
$1.86
$1.85
2021
2022
$1.55
$1.50
$1.00
$0.50
$0.00
2019
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
2020
2023
2024
11
Kentucky – A premium product
The Kentucky JV was established to produce a premium product and facilitate entry into the liquid-phase market.
With access to high-quality raw materials, initial product testing confirms a market leading product.
The data shown below articulates the premium-performance when compared to key competitors across multiple markets
Taste & Odor - Geosmin Removal
99%
92%
Forever Chemical - PFOA Removal
88%
91%
69%
54%
Inez AC
Lignite Coal AC
Bituminous Coal AC
Inez AC
Lignite Coal AC
Bituminous Coal AC
Carbonxt
Competitor B
Competitor A
Carbonxt
Competitor B
Competitor A
Taste and odour removal is a large market in the water treatment segment.
Competitive removal of PFOA in comparison to the main industry counterparts
The Inez carbon has the desired surface chemistry and structure for removal.
Removal of 99% of PFOA in water treatment environment
This allows Carbonxt to compete in performance-based bids in the water
treatment arena that will effectively result in higher sales price opportunities.
Coal-based materials perform significantly better for short and long chained
PFAS in comparison to other raw materials.
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
12
Summary
The high-quality raw materials and technical skills of the Carbonxt R&D team
will afford the Company the opportunity to address a range of industrial water
treatment applications.
The existing water phase market approximately twice as large as the airphase market.
Agglomerating Equipment
The PFAS regulations will materially increase the size of the water-phase
market.
There is limited new supply being brought to market.
Pricing for Activated Carbon products has been increasing.
Activation Equipment
Customer interest in the production from our new facility is high.
Timeline
Turbine Generator
Apr-23
Site work begins
May-23
JV Agreement finalised
Nov-23
All major equipment delivered to site
Mar-24
Customer discussions initiated
3Q2024
Plant Commissioning & Manufacturing launch
Ash Hoppers
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
13
Senior Management and Board of Directors
Dr. David Mazyck – DIRECTOR & CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER
Matthew Driscoll – CHAIRMAN
World-leading expert on activated carbon .
Significant experience across several industries, including online
technologies, financial services, fintech, property and resources.
Has developed carbon products for the major multinational
companies .
30 years’ experience in capital markets and the financial services.
An accomplished company director in roles across listed and
private companies.
Former Chairman of the Activated Carbon Standards Committee for
the American Waterworks Association.
Member of the World Coal Association and an appointee to the
United Nations.
Dr. Imtiaz Kathawalla – DIRECTOR
Warren Murphy - MANAGING DIRECTOR
Past Vice-President at NYSE-listed Cabot Corporation, a global,
specialty chemical company where he had a 27-year career.
Co-Head of the Australian Infrastructure & Project Finance Group
and Head of Energy at Babcock & Brown.
Most recent position with Cabot Corporation was as General
Manager of Cabot's Purification Solutions Division.
Led the development of Babcock & Brown’s energy sector
capability in ANZ, including the founding of Infigen Energy.
Previously director of the ASX listed Alinta Limited and Sydney Gas
Limited.
Nicholas Andrews - DIRECTOR
Dr. Regina Rodriguez – CEO, CARBONXT, Inc.
Over 10 year of experience in the activated carbon industry in the
area of product development and commercialization.
US National Science Foundation researcher.
Chairwoman of the Activated Carbon Standards Committee for the
American Waterworks Association .
Holds 10 patents in activated carbon technology.
Filtratio
n
Executive Chairman & CEO at Magontec Ltd. (ASX:MGL), an
established business in the global magnesium sector.
Member of the Executive Committee and serves on the Board of the
International Magnesium Association.
Held several senior roles in the financial services sector across both
investment management and investment banking.
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
14
CONTACT
Warren Murphy
Managing Director
+61 (0) 413 841 216
w.murphy@carbonxt.com
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
15
Black Birch Powdered Carbon Plant - Georgia
APPENDIX
Production
Facilities
Products: Wood-based powdered activated carbon (MatsPAC, AquaPAC and CEMPAC)
Opportunity: Currently supplying product mercury markets in coal fired, waste to energy
and cement industries. Ability to further penetrate water market with blending of new JV
carbon to uplift
Capacity: Current production of 6,000 tons per annum. New mill will allow for production
up to 10,000 tons per annum and provide redundancy
Arden Hills Pelletization Plant - Minnesota
Products: Pelletized wood and lignite carbons for use in mercury removal and tolling
arrangements (NAQ-ACP, CTC-ACP)
Capacity: Current production capable up to 7,500 tons per annum
Opportunity: Expansion into new pellet applications. Early stage discussion with customers.
Inez Power AC Plant Kentucky - KCP
Products: Agglomerated bituminous coal based pelletized AC
Initial Capacity: 10,000 tons per annum
Opportunity: Industrial pellet users alongside with water treatment for chronic
contaminants and forever chemicals removal
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
16
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by Carbonxt Group Limited ACN 097 247 464 (“Carbonxt”).
Summary information
This Presentation prepared by Carbonxt, contains summary information about Carbonxt and its associated entities and their activities current as at the date of this
presentation. The information in this presentation is of a general background nature and does not purport to include or summarise all information that an investor should
consider when making an investment decision. It should be read in conjunction with Carbonxt’s other announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange
which are available on www.asx.com.au. Information about Carbonxt’s activities are current as at the date of this presentation.
Not investment advice or a recommendation
The information contained in the presentation has been prepared without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any
particular person. Nothing in the presentation constitutes as investment or financial product advice, nor is it a recommendation to acquire any entitlements or securities
in Carbonxt. It is not intended to be used as the basis for making a financial decision, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting or other advice. Any
references to or explanations of legislation, regulatory issues, benefits or any other legal commentary (if any) are indicative only, do not summarise all relevant issues
and are not intended to be a full explanation of a particular matter. Recipients of this presentation should make their own enquiries and investigations regarding any
investment, and should seek their own professional advice on the legal, financial accounting, taxation and other consequences of investing in Carbonxt. Carbonxt is
not licensed to provide investment or financial product advice in respect of Carbonxt’s shares.
Investment risk
An investment in Carbonxt’s securities is subject to known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Carbonxt, including, possible loss of income and
principal invested. Carbonxt does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Carbonxt, nor does it guarantee any particular tax treatment.
Investors should have regard to the risk factors outlined in this presentation when making their investment decision. Investors should have regard to (amongst other
things) the risk factors outlined in this presentation when making their investment decision. See the “Key Risks” section of this presentation for certain risk relating to an
investment in Carbonxt’s securities.
Past Performance
Past performance information contained in the presentation is given for illustration purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future
performance. Actual results could differ materially from those referred to in the presentation.
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
17
Disclaimer
Forward Looking Statements
The presentation contains certain ‘forward looking statements’ and comments about future events. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties,
assumptions and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Carbonxt to be materially different from future results,
performance or achievements expressed or implied by those statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements.
This presentation contains such statements that are subject to risk factors associated with an investment in Carbonxt. It is believed that the expectations reflected in
these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially.
These statements reflect views only as of the date of the presentation. The actual results of Carbonxt may differ materially from the anticipated results, performance or
achievement expressed, projected or implied by these forward-looking statements. Subject to any obligations under the Corporations Act, Carbonxt disclaims any
obligation to disseminate any updates or revision to any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in expectations in relation to those statements or any change
in circumstances, events or conditions on which any of those statements are based. Neither Carbonxt nor any other person gives any representation, assurance or
guarantee that the occurrence of the events expressed or implied in any forward looking statements in the presentation will actually occur and you are cautioned not
to place undue reliance on any forward looking statements.
Future Performance
The presentation contains certain "forward-looking statements" including statements regarding Carbonxt’s intent, belief or current expectations with respect to
Carbonxt’s business and operations, market conditions, results of operations, financial condition, and risk management practices. The words "likely", "expect", "aim",
"should", "could", "may", "anticipate", "predict", "believe", "plan", “likely”, “intend”, “propose”, “will”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “target” and other similar expressions are
intended to identify forward-looking statements. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking
statements.
Disclaimers
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made to the accuracy, adequacy or reliability of any statements, estimates or opinions or other information
contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Carbonxt, and each of its subsidiaries and related bodies corporate, and the directors,
officers, employees, partners, contractors and agents of them (“Limited Party”), disclaim all liability and responsibility for any direct or indirect loss or damage which may
be suffered by any recipient through the use of or reliance on anything contained in or omitted from this presentation, including without limitation any liability arising out
of fault or negligence for any direct, indirect, consequential or contingent loss or damage. None of the Limited Parties nor any independent third-party has reviewed
the reasonableness of any forward looking statements in this presentation. Carbonxt does not represent or warrant that this presentation is complete or that it contains
all material information about Carbonxt or which a prospective investor may require in evaluation an investment in Carbonxt. No recommendation is made as to how
investors should make an investment decision. Investors must rely on their own investigations and examinations of Carbonxt and its securities, including, the merits and
risks involved. Investors should consult with their own professional advisors in connection with any acquisition of securities. Carbonxt is under no obligation to update this
presentation. The information in this presentation remains subject to change by Carbonxt without notice.
Carbonxt Investor Presentation May 2024
18
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